{"id":86079,"date":"2017-03-20T02:23:49","date_gmt":"2017-03-20T00:23:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=86079"},"modified":"2017-03-20T02:23:49","modified_gmt":"2017-03-20T00:23:49","slug":"dollar-on-defensive-for-packed-week-of-fed-speakers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=86079","title":{"rendered":"Dollar on defensive for packed week of Fed speakers"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>The <span class=\"vm-hook-outer vm-hook-default\"><span class=\"vm-hook\">dollar<\/span><\/span> stayed on the defensive in Asia on Monday with bulls still nursing a grudge after the Federal Reserve&#8217;s rate guidance last week proved to be less &#8220;hawkish&#8221; than many had wagered on.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">There was scant reaction to the Group of 20 meeting over the weekend which retained the familiar form of words on <span class=\"vm-hook-outer vm-hook-default\"><span class=\"vm-hook\">currency<\/span><\/span> intervention but dropped a pledge to avoid trade protectionism.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">A holiday in Japan made for thin trading, leaving the dollar a fraction softer near two-week lows at 112.68 yen. That was some way from the March top of 115.51 and biased risks to a re-test of the February lows around 111.59\/69.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was little moved at 100.300, having touched a five-week trough of 100.140 on Friday in the wake of the Fed&#8217;s rate hike.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The retreat left a double top on the charts at 102.25\/26 that looks bearish for the near term.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The situation was much the same against the euro which was holding firm at $1.0741, having reached a six-week peak of $1.0782 on Friday. It now faces stiff chart resistance at the January top of $1.0828.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Politics loomed large again with the first French presidential debate due later on Monday.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Opinion polls out over the weekend showed centrist Emmanuel Macron and far-right leader Marine Le Pen were running neck and neck for the first round of voting in France&#8217;s presidential election, due April 23. Yet they also showed Macron would beat her comfortably in the second-round run-off on May 7.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Dealers were also braced for a packed week of Fed messaging with no less than nine different <span class=\"vm-hook-outer vm-hook-default\"><span class=\"vm-hook\">policy<\/span><\/span> makers set to speak, including Chair Janet Yellen on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Yellen&#8217;s cautious guidance last week has investors pricing in almost no chance of another rate rise at the next policy meeting in May, rising to around 50-50 for June.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">&#8220;There will likely be a two month hiatus before the next overt signalling on a Fed <span class=\"vm-hook-outer vm-hook-default\"><span class=\"vm-hook\">rate<\/span><\/span> hike, enough of a time lag not to immediately undermine the favourable risk and carry environment,&#8221; said Alan Ruskin, head of forex at Deutsche.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">He also noted there was growing talk the European Central Bank might raise its deposit rates, currently in negative territory, before officially ending quantitative easing.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">The risk was enough to lift short-term German yields last week and narrow the dollar&#8217;s rate advantage over the euro by around 15 basis points.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">This trend could help the euro up to around $1.1000 over the next few months, said Ruskin, though it would ultimately not prevent a stronger U.S. dollar later in the year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The dollar stayed on the defensive in Asia on Monday with bulls still nursing a grudge after the Federal Reserve&#8217;s rate guidance last week proved to be less &#8220;hawkish&#8221; than many had wagered on. There was scant reaction to the Group of 20 meeting over the weekend which retained the familiar form of words on &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":86084,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-86079","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-te-public"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Dollar on defensive for packed week of Fed speakers - Arab Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=86079\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dollar on defensive for packed week of Fed speakers - Arab Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The dollar stayed on the defensive in Asia on Monday with bulls still nursing a grudge after the Federal Reserve&#8217;s rate guidance last week proved to be less &#8220;hawkish&#8221; than many had wagered on. 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