{"id":45822,"date":"2015-12-31T15:04:13","date_gmt":"2015-12-31T13:04:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=45822"},"modified":"2015-12-31T15:04:13","modified_gmt":"2015-12-31T13:04:13","slug":"sky-high-stocks-book-fourth-year-of-gains-tipped-for-more","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=45822","title":{"rendered":"Sky-high stocks book fourth year of gains, tipped for more"},"content":{"rendered":"

Stock markets in developed economies were set to record their fourth straight year of gains on Thursday while oil prices cemented losses of more than 35 percent as a roller-coaster year drew to a close.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ultra-easy monetary policy and pockets of economic resurgence have helped equity valuations break new ground this year. U.S. stocks are finishing 2015 near record highs, European equities have hit all-time peaks and Japanese shares have risen to levels not seen since the turn of the century.<\/strong><\/p>\n

With China’s slowdown and sliding oil prices troubling emerging markets, and global bonds on edge as the United States experiments with its first rate rise in nearly a decade, these shares are seen as among the best bets for investors.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

In Europe, where the ECB is pumping more than a trillion euros into the economy, stocks were down 0.2 percent on Thursday but on track for a 7 percent gain on the year.<\/p>\n

Analysts expect the pan-European STOXX 600 index to nudge above the 400 mark by the end of 2016. Even if they may not return to this year’s highs of 415, that would mark a gain of some 10 percent from current levels.<\/p>\n

“European stocks are still probably the best choice in a limited range of options,” said Darren Sinden at Admiral Markets. “There’s not much incentive to hold bonds, and the U.S. is at the tail-end of a bull run, so it’s hard to justify putting your money there.”<\/p>\n

Japan, like the euro zone, is well entrenched in monetary easing. Tokyo’s Nikkei index, which was closed on Thursday, finished the year up around 9 percent.<\/p>\n

But elsewhere in Asia, markets have been hit by worries about China, the world’s second largest economy, and oil prices which slumped near 11-year lows.<\/p>\n

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was up slightly on Thursday but has shed nearly 12 percent this year. Broader emerging market stocks .MSCIEF are down 17 percent in 2015.<\/p>\n

The outperformance in European and Japanese equities has a lot to do with a strengthening dollar, which has weakened their currencies over the last few years and made their exporters more competitive.<\/p>\n

The euro \u00a0was down 0.1 percent on Thursday, on track for a fall of nearly 10 percent against the dollar in 2015.<\/p>\n

Against a basket of major currencies in 2016 .DXY, the greenback has gained 9 percent with a rebounding jobs market convincing the Federal Reserve to ‘lift off’ earlier this month. It was broadly flat on Thursday.<\/p>\n

Currency strategists predict the dollar will add another 4 percent next year, with policymakers’ enthusiasm for further rate hikes in the world’s largest economy likely to be tempered by the drag of a strong dollar on corporate earnings.<\/p>\n

While U.S. stocks \u00a0are just off record highs, they rose only 0.2 percent this year but are tipped for growth next year of around 6 percent.<\/p>\n

\n

Brent crude LCOc1 gained 0.4 percent to $36.60 on Thursday, after a 3.5 percent drop in the previous session. It’s set for a slump of nearly 37 percent for 2015, having shed 48 percent in the previous year, as a global supply glut shows no sign of abating. [O\/R]\n

Some analysts like Goldman Sachs say prices as low as $20 per barrel might be necessary to push enough production out of business and allow the market to rebalance.<\/p>\n

Combined with a stronger dollar, this trend has crushed commodity currencies.<\/p>\n

The dollar hit a more than one-year high against Russia’s rouble \u00a0on Thursday, and its highest in at least 13 years against the Norwegian crown\u00a0the previous day.<\/p>\n

Among widely-trade currencies, the five worst performers this year have included the Brazilian real, with losses of around 30 percent versus the dollar, the South African rand , Turkish lira\u00a0\u00a0and the rouble.<\/p>\n

In debt markets, German bonds ended their most volatile year since 2011 with yields higher than they were at the end of 2014, showing the limitations of ultra-easy monetary policy with global disinflationary forces at work.<\/p>\n

Ten-year yields DE10YT=TWEB closed at 0.63 percent on Wednesday, up 9 bps on the year and far from record lows of 0.05 percent touched in mid-April.<\/p>\n

Forecasts for the end of 2016 range anywhere between 0.10 and 1.70 percent.<\/p>\n

“Quantitative easing will go on but should not be a big reflation story. We are still in a structurally low yield environment but at slightly higher levels,” Commerzbank strategist David Schnautz said, predicting yields to hit 0.90 percent by the end of next year.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Stock markets in developed economies were set to record their fourth straight year of gains on Thursday while oil prices cemented losses of more than 35 percent as a roller-coaster year drew to a close. Ultra-easy monetary policy and pockets of economic resurgence have helped equity valuations break new ground this year. U.S. stocks are …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":45826,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45822","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-te-public"],"yoast_head":"\nSky-high stocks book fourth year of gains, tipped for more - Arab Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=45822\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Sky-high stocks book fourth year of gains, tipped for more - Arab Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Stock markets in developed economies were set to record their fourth straight year of gains on Thursday while oil prices cemented losses of more than 35 percent as a roller-coaster year drew to a close. 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