{"id":222346,"date":"2025-03-31T07:31:18","date_gmt":"2025-03-31T05:31:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=222346"},"modified":"2025-03-31T07:31:18","modified_gmt":"2025-03-31T05:31:18","slug":"three-big-reasons-why-europe-would-have-trouble-building-its-own-nukes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=222346","title":{"rendered":"Three Big Reasons Why Europe Would Have Trouble Building Its Own Nukes"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"article__header\">\n<div class=\"article__announce-text\" dir=\"ltr\">UK business media has reported that \u201cdiscussions\u201d are taking place in European capitals about creating an independent deterrent. But while it\u2019s easy to talk about, actually doing so could prove a massive and perhaps even insurmountable challenge. Veteran defense analyst and ex-Swedish Armed Forces officer Mikael Valterrson explains why.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__body\" dir=\"ltr\">\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\">There are \u201cthree main problems,\u201d with the idea, the observer notes:<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\"><strong>Command &amp; Control:\u00a0<\/strong>\u201cA European Treaty Organization (ETO) would be a cooperation without a clear leader, not a single state. It\u2019s very hard for an organization to have nuclear capability. Who shall decide when to use it and who to defend? It\u2019s easy to say that you will defend everyone, but it\u2019s very unlikely in reality,\u201d Valterrson said.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\">Even today, despite French President Emmanuel Macron&#8217;s\u00a0recent tough talk\u00a0about extending the French European deterrent to cover European allies, \u201cfew believe\u201d that nuclear-armed European powers like France or Britain \u201cwould risk their own survival to defend countries in Eastern Europe.\u201d<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\"><strong>Production Challenges:\u00a0<\/strong>\u201cIt\u2019s not enough to have some capability to produce nuclear weapons and their delivery systems. You have to have enough of them.\u201d For Europe to reach even modern-day British or French warhead numbers (225-290), it would likely take until 2040, Valtersson estimates.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\"><strong>Astronomical Expense:<\/strong>\u00a0\u201cNuclear weapons are very expensive and a large part of the defense budgets of France and the UK goes to this renewal of nuclear weapons,\u201d with a major portion (12-22%, respectively) of Britain and France\u2019s military budgets spent on them.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\">The cost of a European deterrent \u201cwould also be very high, taking resources from conventional rearmament.\u201d And if Europe wants a truly strong deterrent including nuclear triad capability, even more spending would be needed. The US, for instance, is allocating\u00a0<strong>$247 billion<\/strong>\u00a0to the modernization of its triad as part of its broader nuclear modernization program.<\/div>\n<div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"h3\">\n<h3 id=\"1121679726-1\" class=\"article__h2\">A Pointless Endeavor?<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\">Besides these issues, there\u2019s also the matter of the tensions that could be created by European nuclear proliferation. \u201cSome kind of sanctions might be possible,\u201d and in the event of a military conflict with other major powers, \u201cnuclear research and production facilities would be prime targets,\u201d Valterrson warned.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"text\">\n<div class=\"article__text\">Whatever deterrent Europe manages to build, it would still be outmatched by the 5,000+ Russian nuclear weapons, which \u201chave the capacity to turn Europe into a wasteland,\u201d staring back at them. \u201cThe question arises, is a limited European nuclear umbrella worth its price?\u201d the observer summed up.<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"article__block\" data-type=\"article\" data-article=\"main-photo\">\n<div class=\"article__article m-image\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UK business media has reported that \u201cdiscussions\u201d are taking place in European capitals about creating an independent deterrent. But while it\u2019s easy to talk about, actually doing so could prove a massive and perhaps even insurmountable challenge. Veteran defense analyst and ex-Swedish Armed Forces officer Mikael Valterrson explains why. There are \u201cthree main problems,\u201d with &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":222347,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[265],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-222346","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Three Big Reasons Why Europe Would Have Trouble Building Its Own Nukes - Arab Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=222346\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Three Big Reasons Why Europe Would Have Trouble Building Its Own Nukes - Arab Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"UK business media has reported that \u201cdiscussions\u201d are taking place in European capitals about creating an independent deterrent. But while it\u2019s easy to talk about, actually doing so could prove a massive and perhaps even insurmountable challenge. Veteran defense analyst and ex-Swedish Armed Forces officer Mikael Valterrson explains why. 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