{"id":203904,"date":"2024-04-17T17:12:24","date_gmt":"2024-04-17T15:12:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=203904"},"modified":"2024-11-21T22:32:54","modified_gmt":"2024-11-21T20:32:54","slug":"pepe-escobar-irans-new-equation-reaches-way-beyond-west-asia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=203904","title":{"rendered":"Pepe Escobar: Iran\u2019s ‘New Equation’ Reaches Way Beyond West Asia"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A Holy of the Holies was shattered in the Holy Land as Iran staged a quite measured, heavily choreographed response to the Israeli terror attack against its consulate\/ambassador residence in Damascus, a de facto evisceration of the Vienna Convention on diplomatic immunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This game-changer will directly interfere on how the Anglo-American system manages its simultaneous conflagration with Russia, China and Iran \u2013 three top BRICS members.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key problem is escalations are already built in \u2013 and will be hard to remove. The Total Cancel War against Russia; the genocide in Gaza \u2013 with its explicit policy<\/a> masterfully decoded by Prof. Michael Hudson; and the decoupling\/shaping the terrain against China won\u2019t simply vanish \u2013 as all communication bridges with the Global Majority keep being torched.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Yet the Iranian message indeed establishes a \u201cNew Equation<\/em>\u201d \u2013 as Tehran christened it, and prefigures many other surprises to come from West Asia.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iran wanted to \u2013 and did send \u2013 a clear message. New equation: if the biblical psychopathic entity keeps attacking Iranian interests, from henceforth it will be counter-attacked inside Israel. All that in a matter of \u201cseconds<\/em>\u201d \u2013 as the Security Council in Tehran has already cleared all the procedures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Escalation though seems inevitable. Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak<\/strong>: \u201cNetanyahu is influenced by his [fundamentalist] political partners to go into an escalation so he can hold onto power and accelerate the coming of the Messiah<\/em>.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Compare it to Iranian President Raisi<\/strong>: “The smallest act against Tehran’s interests will be met with a massive, extensive, and painful response against all its operations<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Goodbye to Your ‘Invincible’ Defense Maze<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Tehran, regulating the intensity of the clash in West Asia between Israel and the Axis of Resistance while simultaneously establishing strategic deterrence to replace \u201cstrategic patience<\/em>\u201d was a matter of launching a triple wave: a drone swarm opening the path for cruise missiles and ballistic missiles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The performance of the much-vaunted Iron Dome, Arrow-3 and David’s Sling \u2013 aided by F-35 fighter jets and the US and the UK naval force<\/a> – was not exactly stellar. There\u2019s no video of the \u201couter-layer<\/em>\u201d Arrow-3 system shooting down anything in space.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At least 9 ballistic missiles\u00a0penetrated the dense Israeli defense network<\/a>\u00a0and hit the Nevatim and Ramon bases. Israel is absolutely mum on the fate of its Golan Heights intel installation \u2013 hit by cruise missiles.<\/a><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Amidst classic fog of war, it\u2019s irrelevant whether Tehran launched hundreds or dozens of drones and missiles<\/a>. Regardless of NATOstan media hype, what\u2019s proven beyond the shadow of a doubt is that the supposedly \u201cinvincible<\/em>\u201d Israeli defense maze \u2013 ranging from US-made AD\/ABM systems to Israeli knockoffs \u2013 is helpless in real war against a technologically advanced adversary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What was accomplished by a single operation did raise quite a few professional eyebrows. Iran forced Israel to furiously deplete its stock of interceptors and spend at least $1.35 billion<\/strong> \u2013 while having its escalatory dominance and deterrence strategy completely shattered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The psychological blow was even fiercer.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

What if Iran had unleashed a series of strikes without a generous previous warning lasting several days? What if US, UK, France and – traitorous – Jordan were not ready for coordinated defense? (The – startling – fact they were all directly dispensing firepower on Tel Aviv\u2019s behalf was not analyzed at all). What if Iran had hit serious industrial and infrastructural targets?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Establishing an Equation Without Disturbing a Pivot<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Predictably, there has been less than zero debate across NATOstan about the sudden collapse of the Fortress Israel Myth<\/a> \u2013 which underpins the larger myth of Zionism offering Impregnable Security for those living in Israel. No more. This narrative spin is D.O.A.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Iran, for its part, could not care less about what NATOstan spins. The shift towards the New Equation in fact was generous enough to offer Tel Aviv a de-escalation escape route \u2013 which will not be taken, at Israel\u2019s peril.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For Tel Aviv, everything that happened so far spells out Strategic Defeat across the spectrum: in Gaza, in Lebanon, with the economy tanking, totally losing legitimacy around the world, and now with the added painful loss of deterrence.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

All eyes are now on what may happen next: will it finally become clear whether the Hegemon prevails or whether Israel runs the \u201cwag the dog<\/em>\u201d show?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It\u2019s essential to consider the Russia-China strategic partnership view<\/a>. The consensus among Chinese scholars is that the Hegemon prefers not to commit too many resources to West Asia, as this would affect the \u2013 already collapsing – Project Ukraine and the strategic planning to counter China in the Asia-Pacific.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When it comes to Russia, President Raisi personally called President Putin<\/a> and they discussed all relevant details over the phone. Cool, calm and collected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Presidents<\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Additionally, later this week Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Ali Bagheri Kani – who said Iran will respond \u201cwithin seconds<\/em>\u201d to any new Israeli attack \u2013 visits Moscow for the Conference on Nonproliferation and will also meet with the top echelons of the Russian Foreign Ministry.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s quite remarkable that Iran managed to establish the New Equation<\/a> without disturbing its own pivot to Eurasia \u2013 after the collapse of the 2015 nuclear deal \u2013 while protecting the complex framework engaged in the defense of Palestine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Hegemon\u2019s options are dire. They run from being eventually expelled from West Asia and the Persian Gulf to an unwinnable existential clash against three civilization-states \u2013 Russia, China, Iran<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s left as the number one feasible scenario is a carefully calculated retreat to an easily controlled backyard: Latin America, especially South America, manipulating new, convenient, sovereign-deprived asset Argentina<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And of course maintaining control over a de-industrialized and sovereignty-deprived Europe<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That does not change the fact that US power projection on the wane, globally, is the way the wind is blowing. The Straussian neocon psycho-dementia is unsustainable. The question is whether they can be progressively purged from the US power structure before they attempt to plunge the Global Majority into their irrational depths of doom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And Don\u2019t Forget the New BRICS Equation<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

By contrast, on the Global Majority front, over 40 nations want to join BRICS \u2013 and counting, according to the head of the Russian Council Committee on International Affairs, Grigory Karasin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After a meeting of the chairmen of the international affairs committees of BRICS Parliaments last week in Moscow, Karasin noted how many BRICS member-nations understand that they should not rush to create a rigid charter, \u201cseeing how counterproductive and even provocative the European Union is acting<\/em>.\u201d The name of the game is flexibility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Alastair Crooke has touched on a key theme<\/a> that runs through my new book, Eurasia v. NATOstan: \u201cAnything that was good and true about Western civilization is preserved and thriving in Russia. This is the unspoken insight that so infuriates the western elites. And it is also why, in part, BRICS states so evidently look to Russia for leadership<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The New Equation established by Iran<\/a>, a sovereign BRICS member, will do wonders to solidify this \u2013 multilateral, multicultural \u2013 state of cooperation as the Empire and its \u201caircraft carrier<\/em>\u201d in West Asia, except in the covert ops department, are increasingly reduced to the role of a paper tiger.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A Holy of the Holies was shattered in the Holy Land as Iran staged a quite measured, heavily choreographed response to the Israeli terror attack against its consulate\/ambassador residence in Damascus, a de facto evisceration of the Vienna Convention on diplomatic immunity. 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