{"id":175004,"date":"2020-12-25T22:43:27","date_gmt":"2020-12-25T20:43:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=175004"},"modified":"2020-12-25T22:43:28","modified_gmt":"2020-12-25T20:43:28","slug":"trumps-apparently-keen-on-punishing-iran-military-option-cannot-be-excluded-mideast-experts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=175004","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#8217;s Apparently Keen on &#8216;Punishing&#8217; Iran, Military Option Cannot be Excluded, Mideast Experts Say"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>On 23 December,  President Donald Trump issued a threat to the Islamic Republic of Iran  over Sunday&#8217;s attack on the US Embassy in Baghdad, which it claimed was  conducted by an Iranian-backed militia group. Middle Eastern experts  have explained the US president&#8217;s move and discussed whether the White  House will resort to a strike against Tehran.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">About\n 21 missiles landed in Baghdad&#8217;s Green Zone compound targeting the \nAmerican Embassy on 20 December, according to a US Central Command \nstatement. Although the strike caused no US injuries or casualties it \ndid damage buildings in the compound, the statement says, stressing the \nattack &#8220;was clearly not intended to avoid casualties&#8221; and pinning the \nblame on an &#8220;Iranian-backed rogue militia group&#8221;.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Tensions continue to escalate in the region as roughly a month ago \nIran&#8217;s top nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh was shot dead by a \nremote-control weapon east of Tehran. No one claimed responsibility for \nthe attack, which Iran believes was conducted by Israel and an exiled \nopposition group. The killing evoked strong memories of a drone \nassassination of Quds Commander Qasem Soleimani in January 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p style=\"text-align:left\" dir=\"ltr\"><strong>Why is Trump Stepping Up Rhetoric Against Iran?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">&#8220;President Trump is apparently keen on punishing Iran to the extent \nthat he can, prior to not having the power to do so in less than two \nmonths&#8221;, suggests Hooman Majd, an Iranian-American journalist, author, \nand commentator, outlining five possible reasons behind the president&#8217;s \ntoughened rhetoric:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>first<\/strong>, Trump would like to see a Biden  administration struggle to rejoin the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action  (JCPOA), commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, which he left in  2018;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>second<\/strong>, perhaps it&#8217;s revenge for Iran not bowing to his demands and not agreeing to meet with him and negotiate a new deal;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00b7&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<strong>third<\/strong>, it&#8217;s probably because Trump&#8217;s \n&#8220;maximum pressure&#8221; policy on Iran has failed and he, nevertheless, \nwishes to pursue it to the bitter end;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>fourth<\/strong>, it&#8217;s apparently the growing  influence of Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, an old Iran hawk, in  crafting US foreign policy until\u00a020\u00a0January;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u00a0<strong>fifth<\/strong>, Israeli and Saudi concerns over Washington&#8217;s projected rejoining the JCPOA could also be at play\u00a0here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Trump&#8217;s apparent frustration over &#8220;his extreme pressure campaign \nfailing to bring Iran to its knees&#8221; and his probable intent to &#8220;poison \nthe relations so badly that it would make it excruciatingly difficult \nfor Biden to return to the JCPOA&#8221; are the major causes behind the \npresident&#8217;s latest threats, believes Dr Gal Luft, co-director of the \nUS-based Institute for the Analysis of Global Security.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"text-align:left\" class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>&#8220;This fits a tradition of presidents  trying to influence their successors from the other party. I see the  Trump administration taking steps in its final days to impede a return  by Biden to the JCPOA&#8221;, echoes Daniel Pipes, an American historian,  writer, and commentator.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">In November, Trump slapped a new batch of sanctions on Iran&#8217;s Mostazafan Foundation  and about 160 of its subsidiaries allegedly linked to the country&#8217;s  Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as well as on Iran&#8217;s Intelligence  Minister Mahmoud Alavi and a number of other individuals. The US  president was even said at the time to be considering a potential strike  against an Iranian nuclear site, according to <em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn1.img.sputniknews.com\/img\/07e4\/0c\/02\/1081337820_0:0:1999:1332_1999x1332_80_0_0_acdafb0f8c52a3b96208d993c09f6c7f.jpg.webp\" alt=\"Iran's nuclear enrichment facility in Natanz in 300 kms 186 (miles) south of capital Tehran, Iran (File)\"\/><figcaption><strong><em>                          \u00a9                     Iran&#8217;s nuclear enrichment  facility in Natanz in 300 kms 186 (miles) south of capital Tehran, Iran   <\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>Why is Trump Stepping Up Rhetoric Against Iran?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Trump&#8217;s response to the attack on the US Embassy by some unidentified\n groups is aimed at making &#8220;the Iranian regime and the pro-Iranian \nShiite militias think twice if they intend to carry out attacks against \nUS targets and deterring them from a revenge attack commemorating the 3 \nJanuary anniversary of the US assassination of Iranian General Qasem \nSoleimani&#8221;, deems Dr Michael Barak, a senior researcher at the Moshe \nDayan Centre for Middle Eastern and African Studies.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Soleimani&#8217;s killing in a drone attack near the Baghdad Airport  prompted Iran&#8217;s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to launch  numerous ballistic missiles at Ayn al-Asad, an Iraqi Armed Forces and  United States Armed Forces air base, as well as at another airbase in  Erbil, in the Kurdistan Region on 8 January 2020. The strikes resulted  in over 100 servicemen being injured, according to the Pentagon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">President Trump, however, refrained from kicking off a symmetrical  military attack against Iran. As it turned out later, the IRGC accidentally downed a Ukrainian passenger plane  while anticipating blowback from Washington. The strike killed all 176  passengers and crew of Ukraine International Airlines Flight 752 on 8  January. After the tragedy, the Iranian government offered an apology to  Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky for shooting down the plane.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">It&#8217;s unclear whether Trump will shy away from a military option this \ntime in response to what the president believes to be an Iranian-backed \nmissile attack, according to Barak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"text-align:left\" class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>There is a US military contingent  deployed in the Persian Gulf so any possible attacks by Iran against  America may provide &#8220;a legitimate excuse to the US to attack Iranian  targets&#8221;, according to the researcher.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">President Trump might resort to &#8220;a massive response if the Iranian \nregime provokes him&#8221;, echoes Itamar Rabinovich, professor emeritus of \nMiddle Eastern History at Tel Aviv University. At the same time, if \nTehran resorts to hardball diplomacy amid simmering US-Iranian tensions \nthis could hurt Joe Biden&#8217;s plans to return to the Iran nuclear deal, \naccording to the academic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote style=\"text-align:left\" class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p><strong>&#8220;Biden would like to return to an  improved version of the JCPOA&#8221;, he says. &#8220;The Iranian regime is  posturing by demanding an end to the sanctions first. They may end up  out maneuvering themselves. Biden wants to improve the relationship but  cannot afford to seem too soft&#8221;.<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">Following the strike in Baghdad, top US national security officials \nagreed upon a range of options to present to President Donald Trump to \ndeter any attack on US military or diplomatic personnel in Iraq, \naccording to Reuters. Citing a senior administration official, the news \nagency suggested the agreed upon measures did not contain a military \nresponse over the strike. However, this calculus could change if there \nare future attacks and if they are harming Americans, the unnamed \nofficial told Reuters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p dir=\"ltr\">For its part, Iran is strengthening air defence systems located near its nuclear facilities as a precaution against possible US missile strikes, according to the Kuwaiti newspaper <em>Al-Qabas<\/em>.  The media outlet specifies these precautions are being taken in Isfahan  Province, where the Natanz uranium enrichment plant is located.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On 23 December, President Donald Trump issued a threat to the Islamic Republic of Iran over Sunday&#8217;s attack on the US Embassy in Baghdad, which it claimed was conducted by an Iranian-backed militia group. Middle Eastern experts have explained the US president&#8217;s move and discussed whether the White House will resort to a strike against &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":175005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-175004","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-te-public"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump&#039;s Apparently Keen on &#039;Punishing&#039; Iran, Military Option Cannot be Excluded, Mideast Experts Say - Arab Telegraph<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.arabtelegraph.com\/?p=175004\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump&#039;s Apparently Keen on &#039;Punishing&#039; Iran, Military Option Cannot be Excluded, Mideast Experts Say - Arab Telegraph\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"On 23 December, President Donald Trump issued a threat to the Islamic Republic of Iran over Sunday&#8217;s attack on the US Embassy in Baghdad, which it claimed was conducted by an Iranian-backed militia group. 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